[ISW] 러시아 병력 생성 및 기술 적응 업데이트, 2025년 9월 24일

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핵심 요약:

  • 8월 29일 러시아 국방부(MoD) 간부 회의에서 안드레이 벨로우소프 러시아 국방부 장관은 러시아 국방부의 10가지 우선 목표를 발표했습니다. 이러한 목표는 크렘린이 우크라이나 전쟁에 전념하고 있으며, 중장기적으로 NATO와의 더 큰 대결을 준비하고 있을 수 있음을 시사합니다.
  • 러시아 당국과 비공식 모집책들은 러시아의 우크라이나 내 공격 작전을 유지하고 전략적 예비군을 구축하기 위해 필요한 인력을 확보하기 위해 금전적 인센티브, 기만, 강압을 지속적으로 사용하고 있습니다.
  • 크렘린은 우크라이나 및 러시아 내 전투 작전에 불규칙한 자원병과 징집병을 사용한 결과로 발생한 모든 관료적 문제들을 아직 해결하지 못했습니다.
  • 학대적인 리더십, 갈취, 부상병에 대한 열악한 처우는 우크라이나 전선 전역의 다양한 러시아 군부대를 계속 괴롭히고 있습니다.
  • 크렘린은 우크라이나에서 러시아 참전 용사들의 대규모 귀환이 정권을 불안정하게 만들 수 있다는 우려를 여전히 가지고 있습니다.

관련 최신 자료 및 링크:

  • ISW (Institute for the Study of War) 보고서: (ISW는 이 정보를 제공한 기관입니다.) ISW는 러시아의 전쟁 수행 능력, 목표, 그리고 내부 문제에 대한 분석을 지속적으로 제공합니다. 이 보고서의 구체적인 내용을 뒷받침하는 최신 ISW 보고서를 찾아보세요. 해당 보고서에서 벨로우소프의 발언, 러시아 군의 동원 노력, 군 내부 문제 등에 대한 분석을 찾을 수 있습니다.

    • ISW 공식 웹사이트 – ISW의 최신 보고서를 확인하세요. “Russia” 또는 “Ukraine” 키워드로 검색하면 관련 보고서를 찾기 용이합니다.
  • 러시아 국방부 발표 관련 뉴스: 벨로우소프 국방부 장관의 발표 내용과 관련된 러시아 국방부의 공식 발표 또는 러시아 언론 보도를 찾아보세요. 이는 크렘린의 공식 입장을 파악하는 데 도움이 됩니다. (주의: 러시아 정부는 종종 정보를 통제하고 왜곡할 수 있습니다.)

    • 러시아 국방부 공식 웹사이트 (영문 또는 러시아어): https://eng.mil.ru/ (영문) 또는 https://mil.ru/ (러시아어)
    • 러시아 국영 언론 (예: TASS, RIA Novosti) – 보도 내용의 편향성을 염두에 두고 분석해야 합니다.
  • 우크라이나 전쟁 관련 뉴스: 우크라이나 전쟁의 전반적인 상황과 관련된 최신 뉴스를 통해 러시아의 군사적 상황을 이해할 수 있습니다.

    • 로이터
    • BBC
    • 뉴욕 타임스
    • CNN
    • (주의: 뉴스 소스는 다양하며, 서로 다른 관점을 제공할 수 있습니다. 여러 소스를 비교하여 정보를 확인하는 것이 중요합니다.)

주의사항: 이 정보는 현재까지의 정보를 바탕으로 작성되었습니다. 상황은 빠르게 변화할 수 있으므로, 최신 정보를 지속적으로 확인하는 것이 중요합니다.

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[원문]

Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov outlined 10 priority objectives for the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) during the Russian MoD Collegium on August 29.

September 24, 2025

Information Cutoff: 2:00 pm ET

Kateryna Stepanenko with Veronica Iredale, Justin Young, Nate Trotter, and Zachary Yacht

TOPLINES

Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov outlined 10 priority objectives for the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) during the Russian MoD Collegium on August 29. These objectives indicate that the Kremlin is committed to its war in Ukraine and may be preparing for a larger confrontation with NATO in the medium term. Belousov stated that the MoD’s first objective is to achieve victory in Ukraine and Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war goals, and defined recruitment as a key issue for Russia’s ability to sustain offensive operations. Belousov claimed that Russia has successfully increased contract service recruitment in 2025 but indicated that Russia still needs to improve the Russian tactical groups’ rate of advance. Belousov claimed that the MoD plans to increase tactical drones and electronic warfare (EW) supply to frontline units, improve logistics support, improve drone training, and address Russia’s tactical battlefield awareness problems via the newly created Svod situational awareness system, which will undergo combat testing between September and November 2025. Belousov defined Russia’s rearmament of strategic nuclear forces and space, air defense, EW, signals, unmanned and robotic artificial intelligence (AI) systems by 2036 as the MoD’s second priority objective. The Russian MoD’s focus on unmanned systems and other emerging technologies indicates that the Kremlin is preparing to incorporate its combat lessons and technological innovations from its war in Ukraine into future military confrontations.

 

Belousov stated that the Russian MoD will modernize the Russian officer training protocols within the framework of the “Military Education – in the Service of the Fatherland” project, likely in an effort to address the Russian military command’s challenges with integrating new technologies. Belousov stated that the MoD aims to update the list of Russian military specializations by the end of 2025 to account for assessed future military conflicts, the updated Russian Armed Forces structure, and new military equipment. Belousov stated that three unspecified Russian military academies will train officers in 11 new specialties, including unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and robotic systems. Russian MoD sources revealed in late July 2025 that Russia plans to reopen 15 higher military schools by 2034, including the Moscow Oblast Higher Military School for Unmanned Systems Forces (USF) in 2027. Putin notably ordered Belousov on August 21 to develop a counter-drone training course for Russian servicemen and volunteers by October 1. The Russian MoD and the Kremlin are likely trying to address a persistent problem of the Russian military command being unable to effectively integrate emerging technologies, such as drones, into combat operations, because many Russian commanders are not tech-savvy. A former Russian Storm Z instructor and milblogger noted that Russian military commanders often undermine the effectiveness of Russian drone units (which are reportedly banned from independently selecting their areas of responsibility and targets) because the commanders are not familiar with technological planning considerations such as EW coverage, radio horizons, and how weather conditions impact drones.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov outlined 10 priority objectives for the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) during the Russian MoD Collegium on August 29. These objectives indicate that the Kremlin is committed to its war in Ukraine and may be preparing for a larger confrontation with NATO in the medium term.

  • Russian authorities and informal recruiters continue to employ financial incentives, deception, and coercion to generate manpower necessary to maintain Russian offensive operations in Ukraine and build out an active strategic reserve.

  • The Kremlin has yet to address all bureaucratic problems that have emerged as a result of its use of irregular volunteers and conscripts in combat operations in Ukraine and Russia.

  • Abusive leadership, extortion, and poor treatment of wounded soldiers continue to plague various Russian military units across the front line in Ukraine.

  • The Kremlin remains concerned that the mass return of Russian veterans from Ukraine may destabilize the regime.

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