[ISW] 러시아 점령 업데이트, 2025년 9월 25일

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핵심 요약:

  • 러시아의 시민 청소년 단체인 “최초의 움직임”은 점령된 우크라이나 영토에서 아이들을 강제로 데려와 러시아 재교육 및 군사화 캠프에 수용함으로써 우크라이나 청소년을 세뇌하고 군사화하려는 러시아의 노력에 핵심적인 역할을 계속하고 있습니다.
  • 러시아는 공공 생활에서 우크라이나어를 물리적으로 지우는 방식으로 점령된 우크라이나에서 러시아화 노력을 확대하고 있습니다.
  • 러시아는 점령된 자포리자 원자력 발전소(ZNPP)를 러시아 에너지 그리드에 완전히 통합하는 데 거의 다다르고 있습니다.
  • 러시아는 ZNPP에 대한 통제를 강화하기 위한 노력을 보완하기 위해 미래의 핵 과학자 및 운영자들을 양성하고 있습니다.
  • 러시아 점령 행정부는 러시아-동맹 글로벌 연합 내에서 러시아의 우크라이나 점령을 합법화하기 위해 러시아 친화적인 국가들과 협력 협정을 추진하고 있습니다.
  • 중화인민공화국(PRC)은 점령된 크림반도의 항구에서 훔친 우크라이나 상품의 불법 수출에 참여하고 있을 수 있습니다.
  • 러시아는 러시아가 승인한 미디어 및 정보 흐름 외에는 모든 접근을 제한함으로써 점령된 우크라이나의 정보 공간에 대한 통제를 계속 강화하고 있습니다.
  • 러시아는 전면적인 침공으로 인한 노동력 부족 문제를 해결하기 위한 부분적인 목표를 가지고 러시아 시민들을 점령된 우크라이나로 유입시키기 위한 재정착 캠페인의 일환으로 노력을 계속하고 있습니다.

관련 최신 자료 및 링크:

다음은 위에 언급된 문제들에 대한 최신 정보와 분석을 제공하는 자료들입니다.

  • 우크라이나 어린이 강제 이주 및 세뇌:

  • 러시아의 러시아화 노력:

    • 애틀랜틱 카운슬 (영어):
      애틀랜틱 카운슬은 국제 관계 및 안보 문제에 대한 연구를 제공하는 싱크탱크입니다. 우크라이나에서의 러시아화 정책에 대한 분석 기사나 보고서를 찾아보세요.
    • 외교 협의회 (Council on Foreign Relations) (영어):
      외교 협의회는 국제 문제에 대한 분석과 연구를 제공하는 미국 싱크탱크입니다. 우크라이나 관련 자료를 검색하여 러시아화, 언어 정책 변화 등을 확인해보세요.
  • 자포리자 원자력 발전소 관련:

    • 국제 원자력 기구 (IAEA) (영어):
      IAEA는 자포리자 원자력 발전소의 안전 및 안보 상황을 지속적으로 모니터링하고 있습니다. IAEA의 보고서와 발표를 통해 최신 정보를 얻을 수 있습니다. (최신 보고서 확인 필요)
    • 미국 원자력 규제 위원회 (NRC) (영어):
      NRC는 원자력 발전소 관련 안전 및 규제 관련 정보를 제공합니다. 자포리자 원자력 발전소 관련 뉴스 및 정보를 확인할 수 있습니다.
  • 크림반도에서의 불법 수출 관련:

    • 미국 국무부: 우크라이나 분쟁 대응 (영어):
      미국 국무부의 웹사이트에서 우크라이나 관련 정책 및 상황에 대한 최신 정보를 확인할 수 있습니다. 특히 크림반도를 통한 불법 거래 관련 정보가 있는지 확인합니다.
    • 미국 재무부 (영어):
      미국 재무부는 제재 및 금융 관련 정보를 제공합니다. 러시아에 대한 제재 및 크림반도 관련 불법 활동에 대한 정보를 확인할 수 있습니다.

주의: 위 링크는 예시이며, 관련 내용이 있는지 직접 확인해야 합니다. 또한, 정보의 최신성을 유지하기 위해 지속적으로 최신 자료를 검색하고 확인하는 것이 중요합니다.

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[원문]

The Russian “Movement of the First” civic youth organization continues to play a key role in Russia’s efforts to indoctrinate and militarize Ukrainian youth.

September 25, 2025

Information Cutoff: September 24, 5 pm ET

Karolina Hird and Veronica Iredale

TOPLINES

The Russian “Movement of the First” civic youth organization continues to play a key role in Russia’s efforts to indoctrinate and militarize Ukrainian youth by forcibly removing children from occupied territories of Ukraine to Russian re-education and militarization camps. Kremlin newswire TASS reported on September 22 that Movement of the First is planning to organize a trip for 150 Ukrainian children from Kherson Oblast to attend a youth camp in occupied Crimea by the end of October 2025. Movement of the First is a Russian youth organization aimed at propagating military-patriotic education in Russia and occupied Ukraine. The Crimea camp will teach tactical and first aid skills to Ukrainian children. Chairman of the Kherson Oblast Movement of the First branch Alexey Lavrentyev told TASS that Movement of the First plans to “recruit” additional children from remote regions of occupied Kherson Oblast to attend such camps. Russia’s removal of these children to camps intended to indoctrinate and militarize them likely constitutes an instance of forcible removal, regardless of the duration of stay at the camp. ISW differentiates between “forcible transfer/removal” and “deportation” of occupied populations according to international legal definitions. Forcible removal refers to occasions when the occupying power forcibly removes certain populations from their homes to other areas within national borders – for example, Russian occupation authorities removing Ukrainian citizens from occupied Kherson Oblast to occupied Crimea.

Russia is escalating its Russification efforts in occupied Ukraine by physically erasing Ukrainian language from public life. Kakhovka occupation head Pavlo Filipchuk reported on September 22 that the Russian occupation administration is replacing signs in Kakhovka and surrounding villages in Kherson Oblast with Russian language signs or signs listing their Soviet-era names. Filipchuk stated that Kherson Oblast occupation head Vladimir Saldo ordered all signs in Ukrainian to be taken down in accordance with the Law on the Protection of the Russian Language. Russian President Vladimir Putin signed the most recent amendment to the Law on the Protection of the Russian Language on June 24, 2025. The amendment requires that starting in March 2026, all consumer-facing text (including shop signs and product descriptions) be in Russian, and the Latin alphabet will be prohibited from appearing in residential complexes’ names. The amendment states that any foreign language words must be accompanied by an equivalent Russian translation in the same size, font, and placement as the foreign text.nRussian occupation authorities are using this language law to erase the display of Ukrainian language in occupied areas. Filipchuk stated that both Russian occupation authorities and Ukrainian citizens are responsible for removing Ukrainian signs.

Russia is coming close to completing the full integration of the occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) into the Russian energy grid. ZNPP occupation director Yuri Chernichuk stated on September 22 that the ZNPP has officially certified all its employees under Russian regulations and that the ZNPP will work in accordance with Russian legislation. Chernichuk stated that this certification process includes the recruitment and registration of the plant’s “core staff” and the finalization of its personnel structure. Chernichuk claimed that the integration of the ZNPP into Russia is now in its “final stages.” ISW recently assessed that Russia would soon be able to connect the ZNPP to the Russian power grid following discussions by Russian officials on restarting power generation at the plant in early September. Russia’s eventual integration of the ZNPP into the Russian power grid will pose significant risks to nuclear security at the plant and allow Russia to seize Ukrainian energy generation assets for its own benefit.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • The Russian “Movement of the First” civic youth organization continues to play a key role in Russia’s efforts to indoctrinate and militarize Ukrainian youth by forcibly removing children from occupied territories of Ukraine to Russian re-education and militarization camps.

  • Russia is escalating its Russification efforts in occupied Ukraine by physically erasing Ukrainian language from public life.

  • Russia is coming close to completing the full integration of the occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) into the Russian energy grid.

  • Russia is creating a cadre of future nuclear scientists and operators to supplement its efforts to consolidate control of the ZNPP.

  • Russian occupation administrations are pursuing cooperation agreements with Russia-friendly states in an effort to legitimize Russia’s occupation of Ukraine within the Russia-aligned global coalition.

  • The People’s Republic of China (PRC) may be participating in the illegal export of stolen Ukrainian goods from ports in occupied Crimea.

  • Russia continues to tighten its control over the information space in occupied Ukraine by restricting access to all but Russian-approved media and information streams.

  • Russia continues efforts to attract Russian citizens to occupied Ukraine as part of a larger resettlement campaign aimed in part at addressing labor shortages resulting from the full-scale invasion.

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