[ISW] 이란 업데이트 특별 보도, 2026년 3월 28일

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핵심 요약:

  • 후티 반군의 이스라엘 공격 개시: 3월 27일과 28일, 후티 반군은 이스라엘 남부를 겨냥해 탄도 미사일 공격과 드론 및 순항 미사일 공격을 감행했습니다. 이는 전쟁 발발 이후 후티 반군의 첫 번째 직접적인 개입입니다. 후티 반군이 국제 해운 대신 이스라엘을 공격하는 것은 미국 및 이스라엘과의 즉각적인 확전을 피하려는 신중한 접근 방식을 취하려는 의도로 보입니다.
  • 이란의 “저항 경제” 홍보: 3월 28일, 이란 최고 지도자 모즈타바 하메네이의 텔레그램 채널은 오랫동안 유지해 온 “저항 경제” 개념에 대한 인포그래픽을 게시했습니다. 이는 현재의 경제적, 사회적 현실과 괴리된 행보로, 특히 진행 중인 군사적 갈등 속에서 더욱 이례적으로 보입니다. 이는 또한 모즈타바의 부상설 속에서 그가 적극적인 지도자임을 부각하려는 의도로 해석될 수 있습니다.
  • 이란-러시아 드론 거래 논의: 미국 및 유럽 관리들은 AP 통신에 따르면, 3월에 이란과 러시아가 “업그레이드된” 러시아제 드론의 제한적 물량 이전에 대해 “매우 적극적인” 논의를 가졌습니다. 이는 러시아가 이란에 샤헤드 드론을 제공하고 있다는 서방 언론 보도에 이은 것입니다.
  • 우크라이나-카타르 국방 협정: 3월 28일, 우크라이나 대통령 볼로디미르 젤렌스키는 우크라이나와 카타르가 10년 기간의 국방 협정을 체결했다고 발표했습니다. 이 협정에는 기술 개발, 방공, 대(對)드론 조치, 군사 훈련, 경험 공유, 사이버 보안, 인공 지능(AI) 및 제어 시스템이 포함됩니다.
  • 이란 군수 시설 공격 지속: 연합군은 테헤란 시의 이란 해군 산업 기구(MIO)와 파르친 군사 단지, 그리고 부셰르 주의 이란 해양 산업 회사(SADRA)를 포함한 이란의 군수 시설에 대한 공격을 지속했습니다.
  • 미군의 이란 국경 초소 공격: 3월 27일, 미국 중앙 사령부(US Central Command)는 미국군이 이란-이라크 쿠르디스탄 국경을 따라 있는 쿠르디스탄 주 시란반드의 국경 경비 초소를 공격했다고 밝혔습니다.

최신 자료 및 관련 링크:

참고: 아래 링크는 2024년 5월 15일 기준으로 내용이 확인되었으며, 관련 내용이 포함되어 있습니다. 링크의 정확성은 시간이 지남에 따라 변경될 수 있습니다.

  • 미국 외교 협회 (CFR) – 이란 관련 정보: 이란의 외교 정책, 핵 프로그램, 지역 내 영향력 등에 대한 최신 정보를 제공합니다. 후티 반군의 이스라엘 공격과 이란의 연루 가능성에 대한 배경 정보를 얻을 수 있습니다.
  • 로이터 통신 – 중동 관련 뉴스: 중동 지역의 최신 뉴스를 제공하며, 후티 반군의 공격, 이란의 움직임, 우크라이나-카타르 협정 등 관련 정보를 확인할 수 있습니다.
  • BBC 코리아: 중동 지역 관련 뉴스, 분석, 논평 등을 제공하며, 사건의 배경과 의미를 파악하는 데 도움이 됩니다. 특히 후티 반군의 활동과 이란과의 관계에 대한 정보를 얻을 수 있습니다.
  • VOA KOREA: 미국의 소리 방송의 한국어 서비스로, 중동 지역의 사건에 대한 다양한 시각과 정보를 제공합니다.
  • 알자지라 (영어): 중동 지역의 주요 언론 매체로, 사건의 현장성과 깊이 있는 분석을 제공합니다. (영어로 제공)

참고: 위 링크들은 예시이며, 추가적으로 관련 자료를 검색하여 최신 정보를 얻는 것이 좋습니다. 또한, 뉴스 보도는 시간이 지남에 따라 업데이트되므로, 최신 정보를 확인하는 것이 중요합니다.

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[원문]

The Houthis conducted a ballistic missile attack and a drone and cruise missile attack targeting southern Israel on March 27 and 28, marking the group’s first involvement in the war

March 28, 2026

Data Cutoff: 2:00 PM ET

Ben Rezaei, Carolyn Moorman, Adham Fattah, Katherine Wells, Grace Mappes, and Annika Ganzeveld

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TOPLINES

The Houthis conducted a ballistic missile attack and a drone and cruise missile attack targeting southern Israel on March 27 and 28, marking the group’s first involvement in the war. Israeli air defense systems intercepted both attacks, and neither attack caused any injuries. Israeli air defense systems intercepted a Houthi drone over Eilat in southern Israel. Houthi spokesperson Yahya Saree claimed that the Houthis launched a barrage of ballistic missiles targeting “sensitive” Israeli military sites in southern Israel and a barrage of drones and cruise missiles targeting “vital and military sites” in southern Israel. The spokesperson stated that the Houthis will continue to conduct unspecified operations until the United States and Israel cease their operations against Iran and the Axis of Resistance. The Houthis repeatedly conducted drone and missile attacks targeting Israel and international shipping during the October 7 War. The Houthis launched multiple drone and missile attacks targeting Israel during the 12-Day War in June 2025. ISW-CTP has not recorded any Houthi attacks on international shipping since September 2025. The Houthis’ decision, as of now, to participate in the war by conducting drone and missile attacks against Israel instead of attacking international shipping suggests that the Houthis may be pursuing a relatively cautious approach designed to avoid an immediate escalation with the United States and Israel.

Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s Telegram channel published an infographic about the regime’s long‑standing concept of a “resistance economy” on March 28. The publication of this type of infographic is disconnected from the present economic and social realities, particularly amid the ongoing military conflict. The infographic explained the “path to defeating the enemy in the economic war,” and emphasized the themes of national unity and sanctions evasion. Mojtaba recently declared ”resistance economy in the shadow of national unity and national security” as Iran’s Nowruz slogan. Mojtaba’s predecessor and father, Ali Khamenei, had for years called for the development of a “resistance economy” to resist Western economic pressure, particularly international sanctions. The publication of this infographic may reflect an effort to project normalcy and portray Mojtaba as a conventional Supreme Leader, particularly around Nowruz, when it is customary for the Supreme Leader to highlight his chosen Nowruz slogan. The publication of this infographic may also reflect an effort to portray Mojtaba as an active leader amid reports that he is seriously wounded.

Iran and Russia have held “very active” discussions in March about transferring a limited shipment of “upgraded” Russian drones to Iran, according to US and European officials speaking to the Associated Press. An unspecified US defense official stated that the scale, frequency, and transport method of the potential shipment remain unclear. The United Kingdom’s latest intelligence assessment indicates that Russia has already provided Iran with drone‑related training, intelligence, and electronic warfare support. This report follows a March 25Financial Times report, citing Western intelligence, that Russia is close to completing a phased delivery to Iran of unspecified drones alongside food and medicine. The Financial Times reported that officials said that Russia is likely only able to supply Iran with systems such as Geran‑2 drones and denied Iran’s request for S‑400 air defense systems. Israeli media separately reported on March 19 that Russia had begun providing Iran with modified Shahed drone components and satellite imagery to support Iranian strikes in the region. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky told CNN on March 15 that Russia had been providing Iran with drones with ”Russian details.“ Russia began domestically producing Shahed drones in 2023 and has adapted them to increase their firepower and defensive capabilities. These adaptations include equipping Shaheds with Verba shoulder‑fired man-portable air-defense systems (MANPADS) to increase their capacity to target enemy aircraft. Iran recently purchased 500 Verbas and 2,500 9M336 infrared homing missiles from Russia in December 2025, according to the Financial Times in February 2026.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • The Houthis conducted a ballistic missile attack and a drone and cruise missile attack targeting southern Israel on March 27 and 28, marking the group’s first involvement in the war. The Houthis’ decision, as of now, to participate in the war by conducting drone and missile attacks against Israel instead of attacking international shipping suggests that the Houthis may be pursuing a relatively cautious approach designed to avoid an immediate escalation with the United States and Israel.

  • Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s Telegram channel published an infographic about the regime’s long‑standing concept of a “resistance economy” on March 28. The publication of this type of infographic is disconnected from the present economic and social realities, particularly amid the ongoing military conflict. The publication of this infographic may also reflect an effort to portray Mojtaba as an active leader amid reports that he is seriously wounded.

  • Iran and Russia have held “very active” discussions in March about transferring a limited shipment of “upgraded” Russian drones to Iran, according to US and European officials speaking to the Associated Press. This report follows recent Western media reports that Russia is providing Shahed drones to Iran.

  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced on March 28 that Ukraine and Qatar signed a 10-year defense agreement that includes developing technologies, air defenses, counter-drone measures, military training, experience sharing, cybersecurity, artificial intelligence (AI), and control systems.

  • The combined force continued to strike Iranian defense industrial sites, including Iran’s Marine Industries Organization (MIO) and Parchin Military Complex in Tehran City and the Iran Marine Industrial Company (SADRA) in Bushehr Province.

  • US Central Command stated on March 27 that US forces struck a border guard outpost in Siranband, Kurdistan Province, along Iran’s western border with Iraqi Kurdistan.

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