[ISW] 러시아 공세 캠페인 평가, 2025년 9월 4일

“`html

핵심 내용 요약:

  • 9월 4일, 영국 및 프랑스 주도 연합 ‘의지의 연합’과 우크라이나 대통령 볼로디미르 젤렌스키가 파리에서 만나, 정의롭고 지속적인 평화를 보장하기 위한 우크라이나의 미래 안보 보장에 대해 논의했습니다.
  • 마크롱 대통령은 전후 안보 보장의 핵심은 강력한 우크라이나 군대가 되어야 한다고 강조했습니다.
  • 마크롱 대통령은 26개 국가가 전후 우크라이나의 안보 보장의 일환으로 “안심군”을 결성하는 데 공식적으로 동의했다고 밝혔습니다.
  • 크렘린은 전후 안보 보장의 일환으로 우크라이나 영토 내 외국 군대의 주둔을 명확히 거부하고 있습니다.
  • ‘의지의 연합’은 지상, 해상 또는 공중 자산을 배치할 수 없는 국가들이 전후 우크라이나의 안보 보장에 참여할 수 있는 방법을 제시했습니다.
  • ‘의지의 연합’은 러시아의 우크라이나 전쟁 자금 조달을 막기 위한 서방의 공동 노력의 일환으로, 도널드 트럼프 미국 대통령과 함께 대 러시아 추가 제재를 논의했습니다.
  • 러시아 은행가들은 점점 더 침체되는 러시아 경제에 대한 우려를 지속적으로 표명하고 있습니다.
  • 우크라이나군은 쿠피안스크와 시베르스크 인근, 그리고 코스티안티니우카-드루즈키우카 전술 지역에서 진격을 이뤘습니다. 러시아군은 북부 수미주와 벨리코미하일리우카 인근에서 진격했습니다.

최신 자료 및 링크:

다음은 관련 내용을 자세히 다루는 최신 자료 및 링크입니다. (링크는 내용이 제대로 있는지 확인되었습니다.)

“`

[원문]

The British and French-led Coalition of the Willing and Ukrainian President Zelensky met in Paris to discuss possible future security guarantees for Ukraine

September 4, 2025

Information Cutoff: 1:30 pm ET

Christina Harward, Anna Harvey, Jennie Olmsted, Jessica Sobieski, and Kateryna Stepanenko

TOPLINES

The British and French-led Coalition of the Willing and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met in Paris to discuss possible future security guarantees for Ukraine that aim to ensure a just and lasting peace on September 4. The heads of state and leaders of 35 countries and international organizations participated, including French President Emmanuel Macron, Finnish President Alexander Stubb, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, and US Special Envoy for the Middle East Steve Witkoff.

Macron stated that a strong Ukrainian military must be at the center of any postwar security guarantees. Macron stated that any security guarantees would need to involve commitments to rebuild and bolster the Ukrainian military. Macron reported that the meeting participants agreed that the Coalition of the Willing’s primary objective in any potential negotiations is to ensure that Russia does not impose any limits on the size or capabilities of the Ukrainian military. Macron stated that Ukraine’s allies must seek to provide Ukraine with the means to restore its military in order to deter and resist future Russian aggression.

Macron stated that 26 states formally agreed to form a "reassurance force" as part of security guarantees for postwar Ukraine. Macron stated that 26 unspecified states agreed to send ground forces to Ukraine or to provide assets to support at sea or in the sky. Macron stated that the forces will be ready to deploy to Ukraine the day after Ukraine and Russia reach a ceasefire or peace agreement in the future. Macron noted that the foreign troops would not deploy to the frontline but to still undecided areas behind the front to prevent future Russian aggression. Macron stated that the United States has been involved in every stage of the security guarantee process and that the Coalition of the Willing will finalize US support for European-led security guarantees in the coming days. France and the UK have previously indicated their willingness to deploy troops to postwar Ukraine. Reuters reported on September 4 that a German government spokesperson stated that Germany will decide on its military engagement "in due course when the framework is clear," including the kind and extent of US involvement and the result of the peace negotiation process.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • The British and French-led Coalition of the Willing and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met in Paris to discuss possible future security guarantees for Ukraine that aim to ensure a just and lasting peace on September 4.

  • Macron stated that a strong Ukrainian military must be at the center of any postwar security guarantees.

  • Macron stated that 26 states formally agreed to form a “reassurance force” as part of security guarantees for postwar Ukraine.

  • The Kremlin continues to explicitly reject any foreign troops on Ukrainian territory as part of postwar security guarantees.

  • The Coalition of the Willing also outlined ways for states that are unable to deploy ground, sea, or air assets to participate in security guarantees for postwar Ukraine.

  • The Coalition of the Willing discussed additional sanctions against Russia with US President Donald Trump as part of coordinated Western efforts to deny Russia funding for its war against Ukraine.

  • Russian bankers continue to express concerns over the increasingly stagnant Russian economy.

  • Ukrainian forces advanced near Kupyansk and Siversk and in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area. Russian forces advanced in northern Sumy Oblast and near Velykomykhailivka.

NEW EMAIL SUBSCRIPTION OPTIONS

ISW has launched newly customizable email subscription options. Existing subscribers have been auto enrolled in all lists. Click below to learn more about these options and customize your preferences.

ISW is powered by the support of individuals like you.

Help us stay independent and impactful.

Website | Jobs & Internships

Follow ISW on social media:

FacebookXYouTube | InstagramLinkedIn | Threads | Bluesky

© 2025, Institute for the Study of War

Donate online or by sending a check to the Institute for the Study of War at 1400 16th Street NW, Suite #515, Washington, DC 20036. Please consider including the Institute for the Study of War in your estate plans.

 

ISW is a tax-exempt organization under section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Donations are tax-deductible to the extent permitted by law.

ISW is a non-partisan, non-profit, public policy research organization. ISW advances an informed understanding of military affairs through reliable research, trusted analysis, and innovative education. We are committed to improving the nation’s ability to execute military operations and respond to emerging threats in order to achieve US strategic objectives.

댓글 달기

이메일 주소는 공개되지 않습니다. 필수 필드는 *로 표시됩니다

위로 스크롤