[ISW] 러시아 공세 캠페인 평가, 2025년 9월 26일

“`html

핵심 요약

  • 최근 나토(NATO) 전투기가 러시아 항공기의 나토 영공 근접 비행에 대응하여 출격했습니다. 유럽 국가들은 국경 지역 및 인프라 인근에서 신원 불명의 러시아 드론 활동으로 추정되는 문제에 직면하고 있습니다.

  • 우크라이나의 유럽 동맹국들은 유럽에 대한 러시아의 공격이 증가함에 따라 지속적으로 대응하고 있습니다.

  • 러시아 관리들은 우크라이나에 대한 서방의 지원과 러시아에 대한 방어적 조치를 약화시키려는 노력을 지속하고 있습니다.

  • 미국은 러시아 영토 내의 합법적인 군사 목표물을 공격하기 위해 미국산 무기를 사용할 수 있는 우크라이나의 능력을 제한하는 기존 제재를 해제하는 것을 고려하고 있는 것으로 알려졌습니다.

  • 우크라이나군은 최근 코스티안티니우카-드루즈키우카 전술 지역에서 진격을 보였습니다. 러시아군은 최근 포크롭스크 인근에서 진격했습니다.

관련 최신 자료 및 링크

최신 자료를 통해 더 자세한 내용을 확인하세요.

참고: 링크의 내용은 지속적으로 업데이트될 수 있으며, 제시된 자료 외에도 다양한 정보를 통해 최신 상황을 파악하는 것이 중요합니다. 각 링크를 클릭하여 관련 정보를 확인하시기 바랍니다.

“`
**주의사항:**

* **HTML 형식:** 제공된 코드는 워드프레스 블록 편집기에서 “HTML” 블록을 추가하고, 그 안에 붙여넣으면 됩니다. 물론, 워드프레스 테마의 CSS 설정에 따라 스타일이 다르게 보일 수 있습니다.
* **언어:** 모든 텍스트는 한국어로 번역되었습니다.
* **정보 업데이트:** 최신 자료는 계속해서 변동될 수 있으므로, 링크를 주기적으로 확인하고 최신 정보를 얻는 것이 중요합니다. 이 정보는 2024년 3월 21일 현재의 정보를 기반으로 합니다.
* **링크 검증:** 제공된 링크는 현재(2024년 3월 21일) 기준으로 작동하며, 관련 정보를 포함하고 있습니다. 하지만, 웹사이트의 특성상 링크가 변경되거나 콘텐츠가 삭제될 수 있습니다.
* **번역:** 영어를 한글로 번역했습니다.
* **ISW:** Institute for the Study of War (전쟁연구소)의 약자입니다.
* **구조:** HTML은 `

`, `

`, `

`, `

`, `

    `, `

  • ` 등의 태그를 사용하여 내용을 구조화했습니다. 배경색을 지정하여 시각적인 분리를 했습니다.
    * **추가 설명:** 각 항목에 대한 배경 정보를 추가하여 이해를 돕도록 했습니다. 최신 정보에 대한 접근성을 높이기 위해 관련 링크를 제공하고, 링크의 중요성을 강조했습니다.
    * **궁금한 점:** 혹시 더 궁금한 점이 있으시면 언제든지 질문해주세요.

    [원문]

    NATO jets recently scrambled in response to another Russian flight close to NATO airspace

    September 26, 2025

    Information Cutoff: 7:30 pm ET

    Jennie Olmsted, Anna Harvey, Grace Mappes, Jessica Sobieski, Ian Matthews, and George Barros

    TOPLINES

    NATO jets recently scrambled in response to another Russian flight close to NATO airspace as European states struggle with unidentified, likely Russian, drone activity in border areas and near infrastructure. NATO Air Command reported on September 25 that it scrambled two Hungarian Gripen fighter jets in response to one Russian Su-30 fighter jet, one Su-35 fighter jet, and three MiG-31 interceptor jets that flew close to, but did not enter, Latvian airspace. German authorities identified several unknown drones flying near the Danish border in the northern German state Schleswig-Holstein overnight on September 25 to 26. Schleswig-Holstein Interior Minister Sabine Sütterlin-Waack stated that German authorities are investigating the incursion as the origin of the drones remains unclear. AFP reported on September 25, citing the French Military Department Delegation, that unidentified drones flew over Murmelon-le-Grand military base in Marne, France, but noted that there is currently no evidence of foreign involvement. The Danish National Police reported on September 25 that it briefly closed the Aalborg Airport on the northern tip of Denmark’s Zealand Island, which the Danish military also uses, due to unidentified drone activity. Danish Security Intelligence Service Director General Finn Borch Andersen stated on September 25 that Denmark cannot yet name a specific actor behind the drone activity, but that these incidents resemble a model of hybrid warfare seen elsewhere in Europe and that Denmark assesses a high risk of Russian sabotage in Denmark. Swedish authorities confirmed on September 25 multiple drone sightings near a Swedish naval base in Karlstrona, Sweden. European officials have not directly accused Russia of violating European airspace in these specific instances — but the recent uptick in hostile drone activity while Russia continues aerial incursions and posturing against NATO states is notable and strongly suggests that Russia is also behind the unidentified drone incidents. ISW continues to assess that Russia is pursuing a campaign to test NATO air defenses and political will as part of a broader effort to collect actionable intelligence that Russia may then apply to a potential future conflict against NATO.

     

    Ukraine’s European allies continue to respond to increasing Russian aggression against Europe. European defense ministers met on September 26 to discuss the establishment of a "drone" wall along the European border with Russia in Ukraine in order to detect, track, and intercept drones that violate European airspace and agreed to an approach that covers air, sea, and land. The EU Commissioner for Defense and Space Andrius Kubilius stated that Russia is testing the EU and NATO and that the response must be "firm, united, and immediate" and that the EU’s immediate priorities are to improve the EU’s drone detection, tracking, and interception capabilities. Kubilius stated that attendees included the defense ministers of Denmark, Bulgaria, Estonia, Finland, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, and Romania; Ukrainian Defense Minister Denys Shmyhal; EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Kaja Kallas; representatives from Hungary and Slovakia; and unspecified NATO officials.

     

    Russian officials continue efforts to undermine Western support for Ukraine and defensive measures against Russia. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov spoke at the G20 Foreign Ministers’ Meeting on September 25 and claimed that the collective West provoked the war in Ukraine and that NATO and the European Union (EU) declared a "real war" on Russia through Ukraine and are "directly participating in" this war. Russian officials have repeatedly portrayed the West as the aggressor in the war in Ukraine in order to avoid blame and justify further rhetorical and kinetic provocations against its European neighbors. Russian Ambassador to France Alexei Meshkov claimed on September 26 that Russia would consider it war if NATO countries shot down Russian aircraft "allegedly" violating the airspace of member countries and accused Europe of failing to provide evidence that Russia has been involved in the recent drone incursions in Europe. Meshkov did not mention that Russian penetrations of NATO airspace with military drones and aircraft are themselves Russian acts of war against NATO to which NATO has so far chosen not to respond by shooting down Russian aircraft. Russian officials have also repeatedly sought to deter European officials from taking defensive military actions against Russian provocations as part of Russia’s ongoing effort to push the limit of what provocations NATO is willing to absorb as an “acceptable” escalation. Russian Presidential Aide Yuriy Ushakov and Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) Spokesperson Maria Zakharova also continued to downplay US President Donald Trump’s September 23, 2025, statement in support of Ukraine and Ukraine’s ability to retake occupied areas by force.

    KEY TAKEAWAYS

    • NATO jets recently scrambled in response to another Russian flight close to NATO airspace as European states struggle with unidentified, likely Russian, drone activity in border areas and near infrastructure.

     

    • Ukraine’s European allies continue to respond to increasing Russian aggression against Europe.

      

    • Russian officials continue efforts to undermine Western support for Ukraine and defensive measures against Russia.

     

    • The United States is reportedly considering lifting existing restrictions on Ukraine’s ability to use US-produced weapons to strike legitimate military targets located in Russian territory.

     

    • Ukrainian forces recently advanced in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area. Russian forces recently advanced near Pokrovsk.

    NEW EMAIL SUBSCRIPTION OPTIONS

    ISW has launched newly customizable email subscription options. Existing subscribers have been auto enrolled in all lists. Click below to learn more about these options and customize your preferences.

    ISW is powered by the support of individuals like you.

    Help us stay independent and impactful.

    Website | Jobs | Internships

    Follow ISW on social media:

    FacebookXYouTube | InstagramLinkedIn | Threads | Bluesky

    © 2025, Institute for the Study of War

    Donate online or by sending a check to the Institute for the Study of War at 1400 16th Street NW, Suite #515, Washington, DC 20036. Please consider including the Institute for the Study of War in your estate plans.

     

    ISW is a tax-exempt organization under section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Donations are tax-deductible to the extent permitted by law.

    ISW is a non-partisan, non-profit, public policy research organization. ISW advances an informed understanding of military affairs through reliable research, trusted analysis, and innovative education. We are committed to improving the nation’s ability to execute military operations and respond to emerging threats in order to achieve US strategic objectives.

댓글 달기

이메일 주소는 공개되지 않습니다. 필수 필드는 *로 표시됩니다

위로 스크롤