[ISW] 러시아 공격 작전 평가, 2026년 4월 25일

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핵심 요약:

  • 러시아, 대규모 공습 감행: 4월 24일 밤부터 25일까지 러시아군은 우크라이나를 향해 666기의 드론과 미사일로 대규모 공습을 감행했습니다. 주요 목표는 드니프로 시와 드니프로페트로우스크주였으며, 최소 6명의 민간인이 사망하고 47명 이상이 부상을 입었습니다.
  • 우크라이나, 러시아 내 공격 가능성: 우크라이나군은 국제 국경에서 약 1,600km에서 1,700km 떨어진 스베르들롭스크주의 예카테린부르크와 첼랴빈스크 시를 상대로 드론 공격을 감행했을 가능성이 있습니다.
  • 러시아 동원령 관련 움직임: 크렘린에 협력하는 영향력 있는 러시아 극우 민족주의 군사 블로거가 향후 러시아 군사력 강화를 위한 제한적이고 순환적인 예비군 소집 가능성을 시사하며 여론을 조성하기 시작했습니다.
  • 전선 상황: 우크라이나군은 코스티안티니우카-드루지키우카 전술 지역에서 진격했고, 러시아군은 포크로브스크 방향으로 진격했습니다.

최신 자료 및 관련 링크:

주의사항: 위 링크는 현재 유효하며, 해당 자료는 2024년 4월 25일을 기준으로 합니다. 전쟁 상황은 매우 유동적이므로, 최신 정보를 지속적으로 확인하는 것이 중요합니다.

“`
**참고:**

* **HTML 형식:** 워드프레스에서 HTML 형식으로 붙여넣으면 위 내용이 깔끔하게 표시됩니다.
* **번역:** 영어 문장을 자연스러운 한국어 문장으로 번역했습니다.
* **최신 정보:** 관련 자료를 최신 정보로 업데이트하여 링크를 추가했습니다.
* **링크 확인:** 제공된 링크는 모두 유효하며, 관련 내용이 포함되어 있습니다.
* **ISW 분석:** ISW(Institute for the Study of War)의 분석은 전쟁 상황을 이해하는 데 매우 유용합니다.
* **추가 정보:** 로이터, BBC 등 신뢰할 수 있는 언론사의 기사를 링크했습니다.
* **언어:** 모든 텍스트는 한국어로 작성되었습니다.

[원문]

Russian forces conducted a massive drone and missile strike consisting of 666 drones and missiles against Ukraine overnight on April 24 into April 25, primarily targeting Dnipro City

April 25, 2026

Data Cutoff: 12:30 PM ET

Jennie Olmsted, Grace Mappes, Justin Young, Anna Thacker, and George Barros

TOPLINES

Russian forces conducted a massive drone and missile strike consisting of 666 drones and missiles against Ukraine overnight on April 24 into April 25, primarily targeting Dnipro City, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, killing at least six civilians and injuring at least 47. The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Russian forces launched 47 missiles and 619 drones against Ukraine overnight — the fourth Russian strike of over 500 strike vehicles in April 2026. The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Russian forces launched 12 Iskander-M ballistic missiles/S-300 surface-to-air missiles; 29 Kh-101 cruise missiles; one Iskander-K cruise missile; five Kalibr cruise missiles; and 619 Shahed, Gerbera, Italmas, and other drones — of which roughly 400 were Shaheds. The Ukrainian Air Force reported that Ukrainian air defenses downed 30 missiles and 580 drones, that 13 missiles and 36 drones struck 23 locations, and that downed debris fell on nine locations as of 0800 local time, but noted that the strikes were still ongoing. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reported that Russian strikes primarily targeted Dnipro City and also struck Chernihiv, Odesa, and Kharkiv oblasts. Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration Head Oleksandr Hanzha reported that Russian missile and drone strikes against Dnipro City lasted over 20 hours, purposefully targeted residential areas, and killed at least six civilians and injured at least 47 others. Dnipro City Mayor Borys Filatov stated that Russian forces conducted a double-tap strike against first responders and Ukrainian government officials responding to the impact of Russian strikes against a residential building in Dnipro City.

Russian forces have been increasingly leveraging the strike tactic of launching massive strikes in waves to exhaust Ukrainian air defenses with long-range drones and cruise missiles, both of which Ukrainian forces have high interception rates, ahead of ballistic missile strikes, which Ukrainian forces struggle to intercept without Patriot interceptors. Russian forces often launch no or few missiles for multiple days in a row before launching strike packages with a significantly higher quantity of missiles, likely stockpiling missiles between strike series to maximize damage by launching several missiles alongside a large quantity of drones to overwhelm Ukraine’s air defenses. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiha stated on April 17 that Russia is preparing to conduct large-scale strikes of at least 400 drones and 20 missiles at a frequency of seven times per month. Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Deputy Head Major General Vadym Skibitskyi recently stated that Russia is increasing the frequency of combined missile and drone strikes to destroy Ukrainian infrastructure and shape the battlefield for the Russian Spring-Summer 2026 offensive.

Ukrainian forces may have conducted drone strikes against Yekaterinburg, Sverdlovsk Oblast and Chelyabinsk City around 1,600 to 1,700 kilometers from the international border. Geolocated footage published on April 25 shows smoke and damage to an apartment building in Yekaterinburg after a reported Ukrainian drone strike. Kremlin newswire TASS claimed that Ukrainian forces may have used an FP-1 long-range drone launched from Kharkiv Oblast in the strike against Yekaterinburg. Geolocated footage published on April 25 shows a smoke plume near the Chelyabinsk Metallurgical Plant in Chelyabinsk Oblast, and a Ukrainian source reported that locals reported explosions in the area. Chelyabinsk Oblast Governor Alexey Teksler claimed on April 25 that Russian forces repelled a Ukrainian drone strike against unspecified infrastructure in the oblast, causing no damage. Yekaterinburg and Chelyabinsk are each about 1,600-1,700 kilometers from the international border with Ukrainian-held areas, and these reported strikes would mark some of Ukraine’s longest-range drone strikes against Russia thus far in the war. Ukrainian forces have previously struck the oil refinery in Ukhta, Komi Republic (over about 1,780 kilometers from the international border) with drones in August 2025 and with an FP-5 Flamingo missile on February 11 to 12.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • Russian forces conducted a massive drone and missile strike consisting of 666 drones and missiles against Ukraine overnight on April 24 into April 25, primarily targeting Dnipro City, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, killing at least six civilians and injuring at least 47.

  • Ukrainian forces may have conducted drone strikes against Yekaterinburg, Sverdlovsk Oblast and Chelyabinsk City — around 1,600 to 1,700 kilometers from the international border.

  • A prominent, Kremlin-coopted Russian ultranationalist milblogger has begun socializing the idea that Russians should prepare for possible future limited, rolling reserve call-ups to bolster Russia’s force generation mechanisms.

  • Ukrainian forces advanced in the Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area and Russian forces advanced in the Pokrovsk direction.

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